Assistant Professor of Economics
International Trade / International Macroeconomics
Shafaat Yar Khan
Assistant Professor of Economics, Syracuse University
I work on International Trade and International Macroeconomics. My empirical and quantitative research emphasizes the importance of trade dynamics in understanding the effects of policy changes and other aggregate shocks.
Google Scholar778citationsh-index 10 / i10-index 10As of July 23, 2026Ongoing researchWorking Papers
- WP 01
Optimal Tariffs with Trade Dynamics
- WP 02
Tariff Tax Cut: Tariff as Revenue
Revise and Resubmit at Journal of International Economics
- WP 03
Unpacking Non-Tariff Measures: Beyond the Tip of the Iceberg
Accepted at Carnegie-Rochester-NYU Conference on Public Policy
- WP 04
Recovering Credible Trade Elasticities from Incredible Trade Reforms
- WP 05
When Brexit Means Brexit: Recovering Trade Policy Expectations from United Kingdom Import Stockpiling
- WP 06
The Durable Trade Effects of Temporary Export Restrictions: A Study of the 2008-2011 Food Crisis
- WP 07
Supply Chain Recessions
Peer-reviewedPublications
- PUB 07
Inventories, Integration, Productivity, and Welfare
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings / 2025
- PUB 06
Trade War and Peace: U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015-2050
Journal of International Economics / 2025
- PUB 05
Trade Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 years of U.S.-China Trade
Journal of Political Economy / 2025
- PUB 04
Inventories, Input Costs and Productivity Gains from Trade Liberalizations
International Economic Review / 2024
- PUB 03
Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China's Pre-WTO Accession
Journal of International Economics / 2024
- PUB 02
The Aggregate Effects of Global and Local Supply Chain Disruptions: 2020-2022
Journal of International Economics / 2023
- PUB 01
How Does Trade Respond to Anticipated Tariff Changes? Evidence from NAFTA
Journal of International Economics / 2021
Public writingNon-Technical Articles
- Elgar Encyclopedia of International Trade, 2026 - "Dynamic Effects of Trade Policy"Read
- VoxEU - "The aggregate effects of local and global supply chain disruptions, 2020-2022"Read
- VoxChina - "Trade Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 years of US-China Trade"Read
- VoxChina - "Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty"Read
- MacroPakistani - "Trade Policy and the Pandemic"Read
- MacroPakistani - "Benefits of International Trade"Read
Applied researchPolicy Work
- The Relative Cost of Non-Tariff Measures in Indonesia: A Benchmarking Exercise with other East Asian EconomiesPolicy note with Bayu Agnimaruto and Angella Montfaucon
- Malaysia Economic Monitor, June 2022: Catching UpSection on external developmentsOpen
- East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, April 2022: Braving the StormsSection on trade and box article on supply chain delaysOpen
- Malaysia Economic Monitor, December 2021: Keeping AfloatBox article on Malaysia's export recovery from the pandemicOpen
- East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, October 2021: Long CovidSection on trade and box article on non-tariff measuresOpen
- East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, April 2021: Uneven RecoverySection on tradeOpen
- East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, October 2020: From Containment to RecoverySection on tradeOpen