Shafaat Yar KhanEconomics / Syracuse University
Shafaat Yar Khan

International Trade / International Macroeconomics

Shafaat Yar Khan

Assistant Professor of Economics, Syracuse University

I work on International Trade and International Macroeconomics. My empirical and quantitative research emphasizes the importance of trade dynamics in understanding the effects of policy changes and other aggregate shocks.

Google Scholar890citationsh-index 11 / i10-index 11As of October 22, 2026
Curriculum vitaeGoogle Scholarshafaatyar.k@gmail.comskhan78@syr.edu
Ongoing researchWorking Papers
  1. WP 01

    Optimal Tariffs with Trade Dynamics

    with George Alessandria, Jiaxiaomei Ding, and Carter Mix

  2. WP 02

    Tariff Tax Cut: Tariff as Revenue

    with George Alessandria, Jiaxiaomei Ding, and Carter Mix

    Revise and Resubmit at Journal of International Economics

  3. WP 03

    Recovering Credible Trade Elasticities from Incredible Trade Reforms

    with George Alessandria, Armen Khederlarian, Kim Ruhl, and Joseph Steinberg

  4. WP 04

    When Brexit Means Brexit: Recovering Trade Policy Expectations from United Kingdom Import Stockpiling

    with George Alessandria and Joseph Lansley

  5. WP 05

    The Durable Trade Effects of Temporary Export Restrictions: A Study of the 2008-2011 Food Crisis

    with Ergys Islamaj and Aaditya Mattoo

  6. WP 06

    Supply Chain Recessions

    with George Alessandria, Armen Khederlarian, Carter Mix, and Kim Ruhl

Peer-reviewedPublications
  1. PUB 08

    Unpacking Non-Tariff Measures: Beyond the Tip of the Iceberg

    with Devaki Ghose and Angella Montfaucon

    Accepted at the Journal of Monetary Economics

  2. PUB 07

    Inventories, Integration, Productivity, and Welfare

    with George Alessandria and Armen Khederlarian

    American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings / 2025

  3. PUB 06

    Trade War and Peace: U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015-2050

    with George Alessandria, Armen Khederlarian, Kim Ruhl, and Joseph Steinberg

    Journal of International Economics / 2025

  4. PUB 05

    Trade Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 years of U.S.-China Trade

    with George Alessandria, Armen Khederlarian, Kim Ruhl, and Joseph Steinberg

    Journal of Political Economy / 2025

  5. PUB 04

    Inventories, Input Costs and Productivity Gains from Trade Liberalizations

    with Armen Khederlarian

    International Economic Review / 2024

  6. PUB 03

    Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China's Pre-WTO Accession

    with George Alessandria and Armen Khederlarian

    Journal of International Economics / 2024

  7. PUB 02

    The Aggregate Effects of Global and Local Supply Chain Disruptions: 2020-2022

    with George Alessandria, Armen Khederlarian, Carter Mix, and Kim Ruhl

    Journal of International Economics / 2023

  8. PUB 01

    How Does Trade Respond to Anticipated Tariff Changes? Evidence from NAFTA

    with Armen Khederlarian

    Journal of International Economics / 2021

Public writingNon-Technical Articles
Applied researchPolicy Work